New competition is entering a settled market
Symptom: Until recently the market was the almost exclusive domain of the large manufacturers. Competition has started slowly.
Implications for the market:
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If new entrants succeed, they will do so at the expense of established competitors.
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Markets with four or fewer competitors are often highly lucrative since relatively little price competition exists.
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In these highly lucrative markets, competitors often allow costs to grow even faster than profits. Once profits are high, companies show a strong tendency to add cost to the product in order to satisfy customers paying high prices and to maintain the high profits.
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Because of their high cost structure, established companies are naturally reluctant to compete on price. Their reluctance provides an opportunity for new entrants to enter by undercutting the leaders' prices.
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These new entrants often grow faster than the market, drawing away demand that formerly went to the established competitors and leading the industry toward hostility.
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With increasing volume the new entrants have increased profits, and, hence, an improved capability of sustaining low prices.
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As a result, price competition is probable for some time.
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Analyses: Perspectives: Conclusions we have reached as a result of our long-term study and observations.
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